Boomer, I agree that we need real hard data, but that is in fact what Pat has provided here. If you look at the Australian national registry, you see both the retention rate and revision rates for both HR and THR in Australia.
I've read the thing front to back and it supports my belief in HR. The data is there, for anyone (NY TIMES?) who wants to read it. It makes the decision by some to move from HR even more poignant, since to me the risk is worth it.
We've talked a lot about metal ion issues, but if you look at the data, you'll find that in Australia, the metal ion revisions are much lower than those from other reasons:
(Quoting from the Australian report)
"The main reasons for revision of primary resurfacing hip replacements are loosening/lysis (34.8%), fracture (32.3%), infection (8.0%), metal sensitivity (8.0%) and pain (5.6%) (Table HT63)."
and about the overall revision rate in Australia over the course of ten years:
"The cumulative percent revision at ten years for primary total resurfacing hip replacement undertaken for osteoarthritis is 7.5% (Table HT62 and Figure HT35"
(Both from page 105 of the 2011 report). What this says is that over the course of ten years, whether from improper placement of the devices, infection, fracture, all possible sort of medical reasons, 92.5% of the devices were still in place and functioning well. The revision rate over each year was about 1.2-1.5% per year.
Of the remaining 7.5%, the types of revisions were (again, quoting):
"The main types of revision of resurfacing hip replacement are isolated femoral (48.2%), total hip replacement (41.7%) and acetabular only (6.8%) (Table HT64).".
Which means that of all revisions, (48.6 + 6.8 %) 55.4% were revised so that the HR still was in place. This means that even when there was an issue serious enough to require a revision, the revision was to allow the patient to keep the HR. Doing some math, that increases the viable HR population in Australia to 92.5% (population without a problem) + (.554 * 7.5) 4.155% (revised to HR) = 96.66% people in Australia who were healthy and functional with an HR. The remainder, I assume were healthy and functional with a THR.
I don't see the need for a panic if you follow logic. The data is there, the country is large enough and the statistical data gathering is responsible enough to be credible. I still see a surgical procedure with a very high success rate, with a positive alternative (THR).
BTW Curt - the mortality rate for botox is 3% ... for procedures done by qualified people.
http://www.surgery.com/procedure/botox/morbidity-mortalityApparently that is acceptable for the people having that done.